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Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Aston Villa - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Premier League Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 28

Premier League - Gameweek 28

Friday, 27 Feb 2026 • 20:00

Molineux Stadium (Waterloo Road, Wolverhampton, England)

Wolverhampton Wanderers

2 : 0

Aston Villa

Goals

João Gomes
1 : 0
61'
61'João Gomes
1 : 0
Rodrigo Gomes
2 : 0
90'
90'Rodrigo Gomes
2 : 0

Game Review

Wolverhampton Wanderers secured a convincing 2-0 victory over Aston Villa in their Premier League clash at Molineux Stadium. This result was somewhat unexpected given Aston Villa's recent form, but Wolverhampton's tactical adjustments and key performances made the difference. The match saw Wolverhampton take control in the second half, with João Gomes (GAP +0.3%) breaking the deadlock in the 61st minute. His goal was a result of sustained pressure and a well-executed team move. Rodrigo Gomes, who came on as a substitute, sealed the victory with a goal in the 90th minute, showcasing the depth and impact of Wolverhampton's bench. Aston Villa struggled to find their rhythm despite having key players like Ollie Watkins (GAP +2.5%) and Emiliano Buendía (GAP -3.1%) on the pitch. Their inability to convert possession into meaningful chances was evident, and Wolverhampton's defense, led by Yerson Mosquera (GAP +4.6%), held firm throughout the match. In terms of lineup changes, Wolverhampton made two adjustments from their previous game, bringing in Toti Gomes and João Gomes, while Tolu Arokodare and Ladislav Krejčí were left out. Aston Villa made three changes, introducing Lucas Digne, Jadon Sancho, and Pau Torres, with Tyrone Mings, Leon Bailey, and Ian Maatsen making way. These changes were part of a strategic rotation by both managers, although specific reasons for each change were not disclosed. The Game Advantage Percentage (GAP) highlighted some standout performances, particularly from Wolverhampton's Yerson Mosquera and Aston Villa's Matty Cash (GAP +4.4%), who was active in defense but unable to prevent the goals. This victory propels Wolverhampton further up the league table, boosting their confidence as they aim for a strong finish to the season. Aston Villa, on the other hand, will need to regroup and address their attacking inefficiencies to maintain their position in the upper half of the table.

Lineups

Wolverhampton Wanderers

PosPlayer
GK
Jose Sa
DEF
Santi Bueno
DEF
Toti Gomes
DEF
Hugo Bueno
DEF
Yerson Mosquera
MID
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde
MID
André
MID
João Gomes
FWD
Adam Armstrong
FWD
Jackson Tchatchoua
FWD
Mateus Dami Mané

Substitutes

81'Tolu Arokodarefor Jean-Ricner Bellegarde
89'Angel Gomesfor André
90'Rodrigo Gomes
for Adam Armstrong

Aston Villa

PosPlayer
GK
Emiliano Martinez
DEF
Lucas Digne
DEF
Matty Cash
DEF
Ezri Konsa
DEF
Pau Torres
MID
Douglas Luiz
MID
Jadon Sancho
MID
Amadou Onana
FWD
Emiliano Buendia
FWD
Ollie Watkins
FWD
Morgan Rogers

Substitutes

60'Ross Barkleyfor Douglas Luiz
60'Leon Bailey
for Jadon Sancho
70'Ian Maatsenfor Lucas Digne
70'Tammy Abrahamfor Emiliano Buendia
86'Alyssonfor Ollie Watkins
Difference Maker Star: Top 3 players of their team

League Table after the game

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
4Aston Villa2815673830+851
L
D
W
D
L
20Wolverhampton Wanderers2927202051-3113
L
D
D
L
W

Last Games

Wolverhampton Wanderers

@Crystal Palace
0 - 1
vsArsenal
2 - 2
@Nottingham Forest
0 - 0
vsChelsea
1 - 3
vsBournemouth
0 - 2

Aston Villa

vsLeeds United
1 - 1
vsBrighton and Hove Albion
1 - 0
@Bournemouth
1 - 1
vsBrentford
0 - 1
@Newcastle United
2 - 0

Head-to-Head

27 Feb 2026
Wolverhampton Wan...2 - 0Aston Villa
27 Feb 2026Wolverhampton Wanderers
2 - 0
Aston Villa
30 Nov 2025
Aston Villa1 - 0Wolverhampton Wan...
30 Nov 2025Aston Villa
1 - 0
Wolverhampton Wanderers
01 Feb 2025
Wolverhampton Wan...2 - 0Aston Villa
01 Feb 2025Wolverhampton Wanderers
2 - 0
Aston Villa
21 Sept 2024
Aston Villa3 - 1Wolverhampton Wan...
21 Sept 2024Aston Villa
3 - 1
Wolverhampton Wanderers
30 Mar 2024
Aston Villa2 - 0Wolverhampton Wan...
30 Mar 2024Aston Villa
2 - 0
Wolverhampton Wanderers

Premier League

Gameweek 28

27 Feb • 20:00
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Aston Villa
2 - 0
28 Feb • 12:30
Bournemouth
Sunderland
1 - 1
28 Feb • 15:00
Newcastle United
Everton
2 - 3
28 Feb • 15:00
Burnley
Brentford
3 - 4
28 Feb • 15:00
Liverpool
West Ham United
5 - 2
28 Feb • 17:30
Leeds United
Manchester City
0 - 1
01 Mar • 14:00
Brighton and Hove Albion
Nottingham Forest
2 - 1
01 Mar • 14:00
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
2 - 1
01 Mar • 14:00
Fulham
Tottenham Hotspur
2 - 1
01 Mar • 16:30
Arsenal
Chelsea
2 - 1

What is GAP?

What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?

Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.

What is GAP?

GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.